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Florida Market Brief

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Aaron Standish
Rate pressure, CPI tomorrow, and the $151M deal that ignored both

Rate pressure, CPI tomorrow, and the $151M deal that ignored both

April CPI prints Tuesday morning — 3.7% expected. PMMS already moved to 6.37%. South Florida's biggest multifamily trade of the year just closed anyway.

Aaron Standish
Florida Market Brief — Thursday, May 7, 2026

Florida Market Brief — Thursday, May 7, 2026

Fort Meade approved, PMMS holds at 6.30%, luxury deals close — now everything waits on next Wednesday's CPI.

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Aaron Standish
A September hike, not a cut, is on the table before Warsh Friday

A September hike, not a cut, is on the table before Warsh Friday

Core PCE stayed at 3.3% and the ten-year eased off its highs, but mortgages held at 6.66%. What changed since Monday, and how to underwrite it.

Aaron Standish
Mortgages fell, bonds didn't: mind the gap before Jackson Hole

Mortgages fell, bonds didn't: mind the gap before Jackson Hole

PMMS at 6.65% while the 10-year sits near 4.74%. PCE Wednesday, Nvidia that night, Warsh's first Jackson Hole Friday. This gap decides the week.

Aaron Standish
AI's debt wave is quietly resetting Florida's rate math

AI's debt wave is quietly resetting Florida's rate math

The 10-year hit a 19-month high this week as AI and deficit borrowing swamped the bond market, even as the mortgage survey ticked down. The lag won't hold.

Aaron Standish
Palm Beach supply is vanishing while Miami's is flooding

Palm Beach supply is vanishing while Miami's is flooding

The 30-year eased to 6.67% and the 10-year to 4.69%, yet Wednesday's Fed minutes could keep a September hike alive as Citizens cuts premiums again.

Aaron Standish
Treasuries eased, mortgages held their high, condos kept sliding.

Treasuries eased, mortgages held their high, condos kept sliding.

The 10-year slipped to 4.68% before next month's CPI, yet the 30-year is stuck at an 11-month high, and Miami condos slid again while Palm Beach ran hot.

Aaron Standish
23,000 jobs vanished, and the Fed's hike case wavered

23,000 jobs vanished, and the Fed's hike case wavered

Mortgage rates still hit an 11-month high, condos keep drowning, and insurers keep cutting. What actually matters for Florida capital this week.

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