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April CPI prints Tuesday morning — 3.7% expected. PMMS already moved to 6.37%. South Florida's biggest multifamily trade of the year just closed anyway.
Fort Meade approved, PMMS holds at 6.30%, luxury deals close — now everything waits on next Wednesday's CPI.
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Core PCE stayed at 3.3% and the ten-year eased off its highs, but mortgages held at 6.66%. What changed since Monday, and how to underwrite it.
PMMS at 6.65% while the 10-year sits near 4.74%. PCE Wednesday, Nvidia that night, Warsh's first Jackson Hole Friday. This gap decides the week.
The 10-year hit a 19-month high this week as AI and deficit borrowing swamped the bond market, even as the mortgage survey ticked down. The lag won't hold.
The 30-year eased to 6.67% and the 10-year to 4.69%, yet Wednesday's Fed minutes could keep a September hike alive as Citizens cuts premiums again.
The 10-year slipped to 4.68% before next month's CPI, yet the 30-year is stuck at an 11-month high, and Miami condos slid again while Palm Beach ran hot.
Mortgage rates still hit an 11-month high, condos keep drowning, and insurers keep cutting. What actually matters for Florida capital this week.